medical-sciences

Epidemiological Modeling & Disease Spread

Simulate SIR compartmental models, vaccination herd-immunity thresholds, contact tracing networks, superspreader event dynamics, and pandemic wave patterns — the mathematics that predicts how diseases move through populations.

epidemiologySIR modelvaccinationherd immunitycontact tracingsuperspreaderpandemic wavesdisease modeling

Epidemiological modeling uses differential equations and network theory to predict how infectious diseases spread through human populations. The foundational SIR model partitions a population into Susceptible, Infected, and Recovered compartments, producing the characteristic epidemic curve that public health officials use to plan interventions. From this simple framework, increasingly sophisticated models incorporate vaccination, contact tracing, spatial structure, and behavioral responses.

These simulations let you watch an SIR epidemic unfold in real time, calculate the vaccination threshold needed for herd immunity, trace contacts through a social network, observe how superspreader events reshape outbreak dynamics, and explore why pandemics arrive in waves. Each artifact exposes the mathematical levers that determine whether an outbreak fizzles or becomes a catastrophe.

5 interactive simulations

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Contact Tracing Network Visualization

Trace infection paths through a social network — watch how identifying and isolating contacts breaks transmission chains and reduces outbreak size

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Pandemic Waves & Seasonal Recurrence

Simulate how waning immunity, seasonal forcing, and behavioral changes combine to produce the recurring waves seen in real pandemics from 1918 influenza to COVID-19

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SIR Compartmental Model Simulation

Watch a classic SIR epidemic unfold — susceptible, infected, and recovered compartments evolve according to differential equations that govern disease dynamics

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Superspreader Events & Overdispersion

Explore how overdispersed transmission — where a small fraction of cases causes most infections — fundamentally changes epidemic dynamics and control strategies

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Vaccination & Herd Immunity Threshold

Calculate the critical vaccination coverage needed to achieve herd immunity — visualize how vaccine efficacy and R₀ determine whether an outbreak can take hold